Widening D/Swap
A widening D/Swap (increasing differential to swap) is synonymous with a deterioration of credit or underperformance of the issue versus swaps.
If one considers that the swap curve remains unchanged, a widening of the D/Swap is due to the increased yield of the bond resulting from a deterioration in the issuer’s credit standing. A higher yield is equal to a deterioration in price. The bond depreciates while the swaps remain constant, and therefore the issue is underperforming vis-à-vis the swaps
Narrowing D/Swap
A narrowing D/Swap (decreasing differential to swap) is synonymous with improved credit or overperformance of the issue versus swaps.
If one considers that the swap curve remains unchanged, a narrowing of the D/Swap is due to the lower yield of the bond resulting from an improvement in the issuer’s credit standing. A lower yield is equal to an increase in price. The bond appreciates while the swaps remain constant, and therefore the issue is overperforming vis-à-vis the swaps.
D/Swap is a Relative Value
If an AAA rated bond has a D/Swap of 2 bp, it does not necessarily mean that it is expensive. Indeed, if the AAA bond market average is 15 bp, a bond with a D/Swap of 2 bp is attractively priced. On the other hand, if the AAA bond average is +10 bp, then the bond is expensive.
If a BBB rated bond has a D/Swap of +50bp but the average for BBB bonds is +60bp, then the bond is expensive, while the bond is relatively cheap if the BBB average is +40 bp.
The graph below shows the average D/Swap evolution for different sectors: |